Natural gas storage dropped -86 bcf to 2521 bcf in the week ended January 22. At current level gas inventory was +120 bcf higher than the same period year and +87 bcf (+3.6%) higher than 5-year average. The benchmark contract for natural gas slid for 4 consecutive days from Monday to Thursday, losing almost -12%.
Weather forecasters in the US indicate that temperature will rise above normal, in the coming 6-10 days to 11-15 days, from the Midwest to the East. In December as well as the past 2 weeks, we saw rather strong bids in gas futures as the market speculated cold weather in the Northern hemisphere would increase consumption. However, as weather gets warmer, demand will subsides. Together with the fact that gas storage remains ample and LNG imports are poised to surge this year, gas price should remain under pressure.
Decline in base metals accelerated in recent days amid worries about potential impacts of monetary policy tightening, stricter lending from banks and slowdown in global economic recovery. LME copper for 3-month delivery plummeted -7.4% to 6898 Thursday, following a -2% fall a day ago. Nickel outperformed the complex with +0.85% gain yesterday. On weekly basis, the metal will probably close flat. Near-term trading momentum should remain skewed to the downside as step-up in tightening in China and unwinding of stimulus measures in the US and the Eurozone should dampen expectation for demand growth.
Gold price trades narrowly around 1083 in European session, there's high risk for the yellow metal to weaken further as traders are dumping the euro, sending it below 1.4 against USD. Crude oil also gyrates around yesterday's close at 73.64. Investors prefer to standstill ahead of the US GDP report.
In Iran, 2 people were sentenced to death after leading demonstrations against Iran's elections. The executions triggered condemnation from the US. President Obama said that action would 'only serve to further isolate' Iran. However, elevated geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran failed to stimulate demand for gold and oil, whose prices normally surge during political unrests.
Gold :
Gold is still declining sharply under the negative pressure obtained from TEMA and DEMA indicators, seen on the provided four-hour chart. The bearish candlestick formation proves the strong bearish trend, which still has downside targets to be reached to complete the IM (impulsive) wave of our detected Elliott sequence.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1052.00 and key resistance now at 1122.00.
The general trend is to the upside as far as 865.00 remains intact with targets at 1249.00.
Support: 1080.00, 1074.00, 1066.00, 1060.00, 1058.00
Resistance: 1088.00, 1092.00, 1097.00, 1102.00, 1107.00
Recommendation: Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold from 1083.00 targeting 1060.00 and stop loss above 1102.00 might be appropriate
appropriate.
Weather forecasters in the US indicate that temperature will rise above normal, in the coming 6-10 days to 11-15 days, from the Midwest to the East. In December as well as the past 2 weeks, we saw rather strong bids in gas futures as the market speculated cold weather in the Northern hemisphere would increase consumption. However, as weather gets warmer, demand will subsides. Together with the fact that gas storage remains ample and LNG imports are poised to surge this year, gas price should remain under pressure.
Decline in base metals accelerated in recent days amid worries about potential impacts of monetary policy tightening, stricter lending from banks and slowdown in global economic recovery. LME copper for 3-month delivery plummeted -7.4% to 6898 Thursday, following a -2% fall a day ago. Nickel outperformed the complex with +0.85% gain yesterday. On weekly basis, the metal will probably close flat. Near-term trading momentum should remain skewed to the downside as step-up in tightening in China and unwinding of stimulus measures in the US and the Eurozone should dampen expectation for demand growth.
Gold price trades narrowly around 1083 in European session, there's high risk for the yellow metal to weaken further as traders are dumping the euro, sending it below 1.4 against USD. Crude oil also gyrates around yesterday's close at 73.64. Investors prefer to standstill ahead of the US GDP report.
In Iran, 2 people were sentenced to death after leading demonstrations against Iran's elections. The executions triggered condemnation from the US. President Obama said that action would 'only serve to further isolate' Iran. However, elevated geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran failed to stimulate demand for gold and oil, whose prices normally surge during political unrests.
Gold :
Gold is still declining sharply under the negative pressure obtained from TEMA and DEMA indicators, seen on the provided four-hour chart. The bearish candlestick formation proves the strong bearish trend, which still has downside targets to be reached to complete the IM (impulsive) wave of our detected Elliott sequence.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1052.00 and key resistance now at 1122.00.
The general trend is to the upside as far as 865.00 remains intact with targets at 1249.00.
Support: 1080.00, 1074.00, 1066.00, 1060.00, 1058.00
Resistance: 1088.00, 1092.00, 1097.00, 1102.00, 1107.00
Recommendation: Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold from 1083.00 targeting 1060.00 and stop loss above 1102.00 might be appropriate
appropriate.
