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Market review


In the beginning of the previous trading week the American dollar continued the decreasing dynamics against its high-yielding competitors. At the G20 meeting the decision to continue the programs for economy support has been taken, which in turn provoked the investments into the high-risk assets. And the Euro-zone fundamentals, which were released on Monday, rendered additional support for the euro. In particular, the industrial production volume in Germany for September turned out to be at the level of 2.70%, compared to the forecast of 1.00% and its previous month’s level of 1.70%. The German exports and imports demonstrated a considerable increase for September as well. As a result, the EUR/USD pair reached its maximums in the range of $1,5000. Along with the euro, the sterling grew sharply against the US dollar and reached its trading day maximum around the $1,6840 mark.
On Monday the fears regarding the hurricane effect on the output of oil in the Golf of Mexico influenced the oil prices. Due to the US dollar decrease the oil rate grew to the level of $80.00 per barrel. And the gold rate demonstrated new peaks. The new historical maximum has been registered above the $1110.00 mark per ounce. The silver rate also showed a sharp growth to the $17.655 level per ounce.
On Tuesday the US dollar demonstrated its temporary growth against its major competitors. The Euro-zone and the UK released fundamentals were the main reason for this. The ZEW Survey index of the economic sentiments in Germany for November turned out to be considerably below the forecast and the previous value as well: the factual level of 51.1 against the expectations of 55.0 and the previous level of 56.0. As a result, the EUR/USD pair decreased to the $1,4950 level. A rather unexpected statement, that the rating agency Fitch Ratings might possibly reduce the AAA rate of Great Britain, resulted in a sharp drop of the sterling against the American dollar. Consequently, the GBP/USD pair dropped to its minimums in the range of $1.6600. But during the second part of the day, due to the stock markets growth, the American dollar dropped again.
On Wednesday the Veterans’ Day was celebrated in the US and Canada, therefore, no important news were published. The American dollar showed negative dynamics against its major competitors during the first part of the day. This was a result of the released news on China. Particularly, the Chinese publication showed an increased industrial production output and retail sales above the expectations. Consequently, the speculations regarding the rehabilitation of the world economy were reinforced and influenced the US dollar weakening. During the American trading session the US dollar stepped back from the reached minimums. The strengthening of the dollar was a result of the announcement of the US Minister of Finances, Timothy Geithner, that the strong US dollar was necessary to the US.
On Wednesday the UK inflation report and the economic growth forecast were published. It was mentioned in the report comments that the UK economy rehabilitation would be slow. After that the sterling happened to be under pressure. The GBP/USD pair dropped to the level of $1,6534.
According to the published information on the same day, the high orders level of machinery and equipment in Japan was above the forecast. This factor influenced the yen consolidation against the US dollar.
On Thursday the American dollar demonstrated a positive dynamics. Due to the decrease of the main stock indices and the released negative Euro-zone fundamentals, the demand for the high-risk currencies dropped and the US dollar started to show a considerable growth against its major competitors. The monthly Euro-Zone industrial production change for September turned out to be below the expectations: 0.30% against the 0.50% level, and significantly lower than the previous month of 0.90%. The released data had a negative influence on the euro dynamics. And the EUR/USD pair decreased to the $1,4850 mark.
The initial jobless claims in the US showed a surprisingly better result compared to the forecast. The factual level amounted to the 502 thousand when the forecast was at the 510 thousand level.
On Thursday the employment change for October in Australia resulted in a much high volume than the forecast: The factual level grew for 24,5 thousand, when the forecast was negative at the level of 10,0 thousand. Therefore, the Australian dollar received a serious support and increased against the US dollar.
On the last day of the trading week the American dollar competitors strengthened again. The US trade balance, which was released on Friday, turned out to be much below the forecast. And the EUR/USD pair closed the week at the $1,4900 level.
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Gold Trade Pro FX!



Gold Trade Pro now comes complete with the SaneFX Forex trading system to give you one system to trade both for the same price. No catches, just better value. Particularly since SaneFX has just been upgraded to be much more profitable.

So now, not only can you trade either spot gold or gold futures from the 30 minute and 4 hours charts but also any currency pair on any time frame from one minute to the daily charts. For full details of the new SaneFX Gold, go to www.SaneFX.com but read on here for gold trading information.

Gold is unique for trading in as much as it is primarily an instrument of speculation and, as such, ideally suited to trading. It was largely unaffected by the credit crunch and continued to give excellent profits while other markets dried up
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Global Forex Trading - What is so Appealing About This Forex Opportunity?


Global forex trading is a huge and incredibly liquid market that unveils an opportunity for those individuals who are looking to exchange currencies around the world. There is considerably less heard about the forex market compared to the commodities and stock market. Global forex trading may not be as well known as stock trading in fact it is actually far smaller than the stocks and even the commodities markets. But being that as it may there is more than $2 trillion closer to $3 trillion in currencies being traded every day on the global forex market. The nice thing about it is seeing that the market is global in can be traded pretty much 24/7.

The fact of the matter is that Global Forex Trading can be an easy way for both beginners and professional forex traders to make money online. The most appealing thing about this forex opportunity and trading in the forex market is the leverage. In the forex market one can control 20, 50 or even 100 times more than their initial investment. This can give you the opportunity to make a ton of money from a very small investment. The reason the Global forex market even exists is to promote investment in international commerce.

The trends give the global forex market it’s ability to change albeit sometimes erratically. Forex traders or investors use these trend lines in an attempt to judge what direction the currency is moving either up, down or sideways. The forex market like most trading markets is very speculative and one must understand that there are certainly risks involved. That is why it is crucial to know how to trade currencies or at least use one of the proven auto pilot forex trading robots as a tool to assist you. Because there is the possibility of making great sums of money and also the possibility of loosing great sums of money.

Here are some more of the advantages of the forex market. Low startup you can startup with as little as $50. Non stop action the markets trade 24 hours per day Monday through Friday. It’s a volatile market which means huge opportunities. Low cost it’s not like the stock market where you have to pay the spread plus commissions. In the forex market your only cost for the trade is the spread. There is no cornering because no matter how many people trade or how many autopilot forex robot systems people use, the efficiency and probability of the currencies market will remain intact. There is no size limit you can trade as big or as small as you’d like. This is something that only the forex market allows.

Here’s some things to look for when looking for a forex software. Especially if you are looking for a forex robot that works on it’s own 24/7. Look for a company that offers traders to run the software on the companies special forex servers. That way you don’t have to worry about your home computer going offline when you leave it to go to bed. Look for a software that does real live testing as opposed to back testing only. Look for lots and lots of testimonials. Look for a forex robot that offers the ability to paper trade to test the software for accuracy. Good forex robots will help you to determine the proper forex supply and demand. Also and this is probably the most important thing look for a money back guarantee with a trial period. Look for software that has a lot of positive popularity. If people are going crazy over it in a good way, then it’s probably for a good reason. Good luck trading and may you make a ton of money with global forex trading.

Are you confused by all of the forex robots and forex trading software available today? Visit this site to find out what works best- Global Forex Trading review. If you are confused about forex trading than try visiting my Global Forex Trading review site.

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Build Your Investments With Global Forex Trading


Global forex trading (forex, of course, meaning the foreign exchange market) has become more and more popular in the last few decades, mostly due to the advent of the global economy. Never before has our economy been so intertwined with every other country. It is perfectly common now for people to convert large amounts of money into various foreign currencies, then back again. The forex market is the largest market in the world, and includes everything from banks to governments to independent speculators. The daily volume of the global forex trading market exceeded four trillion dollars on average last year, making it a very attractive market to get involved in.


Several things separate global forex trading from other markets. Its trading volumes, the large number and variety of traders, the global dispersion, the variety of factors affecting exchange rates, low profit margins (but profits are often very high because of large volume trading), all contribute to make the global forex trading market the closest thing to the perfect competition. Foreign exchange has more than doubled since 2001.


Another way that global forex trading is separated from other markets, for example the stock market, is that it is divided into different levels of access. In the stock market, all competitors and investors have access to the same prices. In the global forex market, however, the inter-bank market is at the top. As the access level drops, the spread (that is the difference between the bid and ask price) widens, though it is still possible for a low-access individual to make large amounts of money.


While there is not a central market for forex traders, there is next to no cross-border regulation. Global forex trading is often referred to as OTC (over-the-counter), which makes for a large number of intertwined marketplaces. Therefore there is not so much a single exchange as a number of separate rates or prices, depending on which bank is doing the trading, and where it is. Differences in exchange rates are usually caused by changes in GDP (gross domestic product), inflation, interest rates, budget and trade deficits or surpluses, and other large-scale economic transactions and events.


Global forex trading is something not many people consider for investment (who would think that so much money lies in money), but worldwide forex trading continues to flourish for a reason. Individuals all over the globe are investing in the forex market and making thousands of dollars every day.

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Global Forex Trading - Trade Globally Now!


The rise and success of the forex market trade has been the instigating facet leading some of the society’s bigwigs such as private investors and traders to undertake into global forex trading. They have given their high hopes for the continuous development and success of the forex trade and this serves as the beginning of a much greater achievement and triumph for the currency exchange market.

Although there are risk and threats in this market still, the passion of venturing into this global trading has been the main grounds of private investors in giving this trading a shot. However, global forex trading is not meant for everyone even if it gained popularity to great numbers of people. Forex trading isn’t just fitting especially to those who are not well versed and adept when it comes to doing the trade. But with all the revolutionary and modernization of the world, this trade has been opened to almost all people who have the heart and determination to deal with the trade regardless of being experienced or not.

Global forex trading should therefore be well learned and analyzed for this might pose some complexities and dealing over with its entirety is essential. First thing that every trader should know is the fact that each country corresponds to a particular currency. This is a given fact and almost all people know this verity. However, these currencies are never stable and its ebb and flow will incessantly occur so long as the market experiences changes not just internally but also from external factors. Traders have their way of predicting the possibilities of deterioration and improvement of currency and this becomes their basis if they will opt to buy and sell their currencies to generate further takings.

As belongingness and membership becomes one of the major dilemmas, the global forex trading opens its doors to all those aspiring traders who have the willingness to deal with this kind of market. By becoming a licensed trader is not the requisite of being a member of the circle and this should be considered appositely to avoid misapprehensions. Apart from hitting the market globally, this kind of trade runs with a common goal and that is to acquire as much money as possible to generate larger profits.

When you choose to take part of the dealings, you have to make certain that you are equipped with all the necessary things that should be learned by a true trader. The forex trading accumulates to trillion dollar transactions each day and therefore, taking part in the world’s largest trade should be your main motivation. Value your membership for not all people can venture into this trading business.

As a final point, global forex trading is a trade that undergoes a continuing process. You might come across great loss profits during your first venture but as you continue your trade and make necessary adjustments towards beneficial changes and adhere to learned strategies, you will be surprised by how much you’ve become exceptionally successful as you hit the forex market globally.

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Global Forex Trading - 16 “Dynamic” Features Of Global Forex Trading!


A few private traders/investors and some bigger business houses ventured into global Forex trading at the beginning of the last century, since they could guage the huge potential of the foreign currency market. Not that the business was without its risks, but these people did not lack courage!


Although it captured the attention of the public, many people could not participate, simply because they were not equipped with adequate knowledge or they did not have sufficient funds for trading. The scenario has changed today, and a lot more investors and organizations have become associated with this market.


It has therefore become even more imperative that these traders/investors understand the basic fundamentals of global Forex trading and how the whole thing works.


(1) Each country has its own currency. The values of these currencies keep fluctuating from time to time, mainly because of external factors. People are able to predict the future value of any particular currency. So these forecasts enable them to buy and sell currencies for profits.


(2) This is an international business. Regardless of caste or creed, sex or culture, everyone is welcome into the arena. It is not necessary to have a license for trading, or have plenty of money.


(3) It is purely financial by nature, linked with small or large sums of money. Therefore, it appeals to the larger public.


(4) The business volume of transactions averages $1 trillion per day. Global Forex trading is therefore considered to be the largest trading business in the world.


(5) The business is open for 24 hours in a day. Transactions can be conducted during the daytime, as well as in the nighttime. And since everything works online, either home or office will do!


(6) The leverage is very big, which is an advantage. One cannot gain or lose at the same time.


(7) Global Forex trading has nothing to do with the stock market. Though it can ultimately be a protection against losses, it is still totally independent.


(8) Forex trading includes a tiny “pip” or spread.


(9) An investor/trader cannot just barge into global Forex trading–he/she should be equipped with adequate knowledge about current market trends and skills! These can only be obtained from experts in the business.


(10) There are newsletters giving advice and information regarding currency trading, which are offered by some professional traders. The investor/trader is advised to subscribe to them and enhance his/her knowledge regarding currency trading.


(11) It is a continual learning process, where well-planned strategies and judicious decision-making top the day! If taken lightly, the investor/trader becomes his/her own enemy!


(12) The economical factors should always be kept in mind, such as–international trade, economic standards and interest rates. They are vital to global Forex trading.


(13) The investor/trader should build up his/her ability to analyze currency trading decisions. Technicalities like past and current market trends, price history, support and hindrances, etc., should be learnt too.


(14) Trading can be done in two ways–fundamental or technical. Both are different. The concepts used in both are also different. To avoid grave errors, it would be advisable to adjust the trading technique to just four trading fundamentals.


(15) The more tools the investor or trader has, the more applications he/she has. Greater learning and decision-making is therefore possible. Skills in planning properly strategies can be developed.


(16) Finally, knowing that global Forex trading carries its own risks, the investor/trader should be able to decide how much he is prepared for. There should be an objective attitude towards the outcome, not a defeatist one!

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Global Forex Trading - Do You Want to Be Rich?


Experiencing real time trading and dealing is assured with Global forex trading. It offers you the opportunity to get well-off promptly especially if you know the right moves to take. This is for the reason that the forex trading market doesn’t sleep. It is open twenty four hours a day, wherein the volume of invested money goes beyond $2 trillion dollars and thus making it the chief and leading competitive platform of market exchange today.

The foremost advantage of online trading is you don’t need to worry about commission fees. Because it is global, you will never be troubled with restrictions - meaning you can take pleasure on your profit opportunities whatever the market condition is. Whether you have small or big capital in your hand, you are definitely eligible to trade online. Global forex trading is not only for huge investors because it allows smaller transactions for traders who may be afraid to invest large amount of money in the start of their trading career.

Because forex trading is seen as a vehicle of making profits easily that’s why full time currency traders, spectators and even hobbyists are continuously increasing in numbers. To become profitable, both pro and amateur traders should make quality analysis of the markets. It’s vital to look at the basic and technical aspects of forex market. If you are really interested in global forex trades, you should consider taking a forex online course that will equip you with paramount tools so you can trade appropriately and become rich real soon.

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Forex Signals - EUR/USD Approaching Resistance - International Business Times


Welcome back for another great week of trading! Signal is out a little later than usual this morning - I was working on something to do with the
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Successful Choices To Learn For Online Forex Trading


The international arena is open to the people interested in online Forex trading. All around the globe time zones determine to board to work with. When you are a night owl, you can go to boards where it is daytime. There are many advantages to the trading in Forex You are not restricted to trading the local stocks of the local markets instead Forex trading gives you the world as your arena.

You do not require a huge capital to make a big profit from the Online Forex trading. You can deal in more than the amount invested in the market, due to the advantage of leverage; also there is no regulatory body to place controls. One can deal in thousands even though they have invested only a small amount in the market with the help of leverage.

If you chose the right broker, your investment can become four-folds; who guides you well. Though online trading is not as simple as buy in low and selling high, there are other variables involved. It is best to ask for the guidance of a registered broker to guide you; understand the other factors affecting foreign exchange trade.

Do not invest all your hard-earned money into the Forex market all in one go; understand its workings before you do. Teach yourself to deal in the Forex, learn to pick the pulse of the market and then make bigger investments. By investing with your margin broker, you would get to trade with a 100:1 leverage, which means at a deposit of $2000 you will control 200, 000 units of the currency.

As you are acquainted with the traits of the currency, its best to keep to the trade of a pair you understand its fluctuations, etc. It will work in your favor to invest 20% of your capital into Forex; this will keep you safe during dips in the market therefore if you have $2000 then place only $400 in the market. The exchange rates are affected by war, oil prices and other factors besides your stock market.

Keep your eyes and ears open and learn before you try any big investments. There are many players like you besides the huge corporations and financial institutions. It is these huge trade corporations who will move the market and not your small amounts therefore study their moves.

With proper study, you could be a part of a multi-trillion-dollar exchange Industry. Before you jump into any trading with real money it is best to practice with some Virutal money or what is known as paper trades; there are demo accounts for the online Forex trading. Trading Forex is different from trading stocks, if you buy stock worth $100 and its value becomes zero.

You lose only the $100 but in Forex you will more than what you invested therefore keep 80% of your stock with you. Consult an experienced money manager to understand the pitfalls of online Forex trading as more than 89% of trading results in losses. As there are many pitfalls; you are dealing in currency that is best to work with a well-reputed broker or software as there are many scams floating around on the Internet and offline.

Learn more about currency exchange trading. Stop by John Eather’s site where you can find out all about forex trading systems and what it can do for you.

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FOREX SPOT METALS LISTING


We can provide data for over a thousand spot forex symbols covering the currency pairs shown below sourced from over 30 different banks and market makers. We can also provide spot metal data and a range of forward price data for the major currencies. Time stamps in chronological order to 1 minute resolution up to 16/05/04 and to 1 second resolution from 17/05/04. Please contact us regarding your specific requirements for forex data.

Tick and bar data may be provided based on bid, ask or mid price on
request
.

Symbol Start Date Symbol Start Date
AUDEUR 15/12/03 GBPILS 26/07/04
AUDGBP 15/12/03 GBPJPY 15/12/03
AUDJPY 26/07/04 GBPNOK 15/12/03
AUDUSD 15/12/03 GBPNZD 15/12/03
CHFAUD 03/01/05 GBPPLN 26/07/04
CHFCAD 02/01/05 GBPSEK 15/12/03
CHFDKK 03/01/05 GBPSGD 15/12/03
CHFEUR 15/12/03 GBPSIT 26/07/04
CHFGBP 15/12/03 GBPTHB 15/12/03
CHFJPY 26/07/04 GBPTZS 26/07/04
DKKSEK 26/07/04 GBPUSD 15/12/03
EURAED 26/07/04 GBPZAR 26/07/04
EURAUD 15/12/03 JPYCAD 02/01/05
EURBRL 15/12/03 JPYCHF 02/01/05
EURCAD 15/12/03 JPYEUR 02/01/05
EURCHF 15/12/03 NZDEUR 02/01/05
EURCNY 15/12/03 NZDGBP

03/01/05

EURCYP 03/01/05 NZDUSD 15/12/03
EURCZK 15/12/03 SKKGBP 02/01/05
EURDKK 15/12/03 USDAED 02/07/04
EURGBP 15/12/03 USDBRL 15/12/03
EURHKD 15/12/03 USDCAD 15/12/03
EURHUF 15/12/03 USDCHF 15/12/03
EURJPY 15/12/03 USDCNY 15/12/03
EURKES 27/07/04 USDCZK 15/12/03
EURMAD 03/01/05 USDDKK 15/12/03
EURMXN 27/07/04 USDHKD 15/12/03
EURNOK 15/12/03 USDHUF 15/12/03
EURNZD 15/12/03 USDIDR 15/12/03
EUROMR 27/07/04 USDINR 27/07/04
EURPHP 27/07/04 USDJPY 15/12/03
EURPLN 15/12/03 USDMAD 27/07/04
EURRUB 15/12/03 USDMXN 27/07/04
EURSEK 15/12/03 USDMYR 27/07/04
EURSGD 26/07/04 USDNOK 26/07/04
EURSKK 15/12/03 USDOMR 27/07/04
EURTHB 15/12/03 USDPHP 27/07/04
EURUSD 15/12/03 USDPLN 15/12/03
EURZAR 10/12/03 USDRUB 15/12/03
GBPAUD 15/12/03 USDSAR 27/07/04
GBPCAD 15/12/03 USDSEK 15/12/03
GBPCHF 15/12/03 USDSGD 15/12/03
GBPCZK 26/07/04 USDSKK 15/12/03
GBPDKK 15/12/03 USDTHB 15/12/03
GBPEUR 15/12/03 USDTND 27/07/04
GBPHKD 15/12/03 USDZAR 15/12/03
GBPHUF 15/12/04






METALS

XAGCHF 15/12/03 XPDCHF 15/12/03
XAGEUR 15/12/03 XPDEUR 15/12/03
XAGUSD 15/12/03 XPDUSD 15/12/03
XAUAUD 15/12/03 XPTCHF 15/12/03
XAUCHF 15/12/03 XPTEUR 15/12/03
XAUEUR 15/12/03 XPTUSD 15/12/03
XAUUSD 15/12/03

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FOREX SPOT METALS LISTING


We can provide data for over a thousand spot forex symbols covering the currency pairs shown below sourced from over 30 different banks and market makers. We can also provide spot metal data and a range of forward price data for the major currencies. Time stamps in chronological order to 1 minute resolution up to 16/05/04 and to 1 second resolution from 17/05/04. Please contact us regarding your specific requirements for forex data.

Tick and bar data may be provided based on bid, ask or mid price on
request
.

Symbol Start Date Symbol Start Date
AUDEUR 15/12/03 GBPILS 26/07/04
AUDGBP 15/12/03 GBPJPY 15/12/03
AUDJPY 26/07/04 GBPNOK 15/12/03
AUDUSD 15/12/03 GBPNZD 15/12/03
CHFAUD 03/01/05 GBPPLN 26/07/04
CHFCAD 02/01/05 GBPSEK 15/12/03
CHFDKK 03/01/05 GBPSGD 15/12/03
CHFEUR 15/12/03 GBPSIT 26/07/04
CHFGBP 15/12/03 GBPTHB 15/12/03
CHFJPY 26/07/04 GBPTZS 26/07/04
DKKSEK 26/07/04 GBPUSD 15/12/03
EURAED 26/07/04 GBPZAR 26/07/04
EURAUD 15/12/03 JPYCAD 02/01/05
EURBRL 15/12/03 JPYCHF 02/01/05
EURCAD 15/12/03 JPYEUR 02/01/05
EURCHF 15/12/03 NZDEUR 02/01/05
EURCNY 15/12/03 NZDGBP

03/01/05

EURCYP 03/01/05 NZDUSD 15/12/03
EURCZK 15/12/03 SKKGBP 02/01/05
EURDKK 15/12/03 USDAED 02/07/04
EURGBP 15/12/03 USDBRL 15/12/03
EURHKD 15/12/03 USDCAD 15/12/03
EURHUF 15/12/03 USDCHF 15/12/03
EURJPY 15/12/03 USDCNY 15/12/03
EURKES 27/07/04 USDCZK 15/12/03
EURMAD 03/01/05 USDDKK 15/12/03
EURMXN 27/07/04 USDHKD 15/12/03
EURNOK 15/12/03 USDHUF 15/12/03
EURNZD 15/12/03 USDIDR 15/12/03
EUROMR 27/07/04 USDINR 27/07/04
EURPHP 27/07/04 USDJPY 15/12/03
EURPLN 15/12/03 USDMAD 27/07/04
EURRUB 15/12/03 USDMXN 27/07/04
EURSEK 15/12/03 USDMYR 27/07/04
EURSGD 26/07/04 USDNOK 26/07/04
EURSKK 15/12/03 USDOMR 27/07/04
EURTHB 15/12/03 USDPHP 27/07/04
EURUSD 15/12/03 USDPLN 15/12/03
EURZAR 10/12/03 USDRUB 15/12/03
GBPAUD 15/12/03 USDSAR 27/07/04
GBPCAD 15/12/03 USDSEK 15/12/03
GBPCHF 15/12/03 USDSGD 15/12/03
GBPCZK 26/07/04 USDSKK 15/12/03
GBPDKK 15/12/03 USDTHB 15/12/03
GBPEUR 15/12/03 USDTND 27/07/04
GBPHKD 15/12/03 USDZAR 15/12/03
GBPHUF 15/12/04



METALS

XAGCHF 15/12/03 XPDCHF 15/12/03
XAGEUR 15/12/03 XPDEUR 15/12/03
XAGUSD 15/12/03 XPDUSD 15/12/03
XAUAUD 15/12/03 XPTCHF 15/12/03
XAUCHF 15/12/03 XPTEUR 15/12/03
XAUEUR 15/12/03 XPTUSD 15/12/03
XAUUSD 15/12/03

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FOREX/METALS Forecasts


3rd Quarter GDP data released today for the U.S. was 3.5%, beating estimates of 3.2%. Much of the growth for the quarter was government related, such as the cash-for-clunkers program that accounted for 1.66% of GDP growth. However, investors took the bait that the economy is finally moving out of recession to launch stocks ahead. The positive economic news drove investors away from the low-risk dollar and toward other, foreign currencies believed to be higher-risk. The dollar fell against all but the Japanese yen in trading.

All three NYC-based indices soared on Thursday on the release of the better than expected GDP data. The S&P 500 (^INX) rose the most, by 2.25%, or 23.48 points, to 1,066.11, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) close behind at 2.05% or 199.89 more points for the day and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 1.84% or 37.84 points to reach 2,097.55. Gold soared for the day, rising $16.50 per ounce, or 1.60% to $1046.40, partially reversing a five session losing streak. The price of a barrel of oil also gained, by $2.41 per barrel to $79.87.

Our forecasts for currency trading on Friday are very mixed. We predict that the euro will slightly lose to the U.S. dollar but not before a pair of mid-day peaks, while the dollar will steadily lose to the Japanese yen through smooth trading. We also predict that the dollar will gain against the British pound and the Canadian dollar, which is likely dependent on British home prices and Canadian GDP data. The dollar is also forecast, however, to lose against the Swiss Franc through volatile trading with an intra-day low support level of 1.017 Francs.

CURRENCY FORECASTS

For each pair of graphs, the left graph depicts Thursday’s currency forecast and actual currency data while the right graph depicts Friday’s currency forecast. Green is Thursday’s forecast; red is Thursday’s actual trading data; and blue is Friday’s forecast. The time is GMT +1, also known as the time in Western Europe or 6 hours ahead of Eastern Standard Time. In other words, the forecasts extend from 6:00 PM Thursday to 5:59 PM Friday Eastern Standard Time. We list the data based on military time. Thus, our graphs begin with 18:00 or 6:00 PM today and extend until 17:59 the next day.

Our forecasts are again powered by iPredict’s powerful Microsoft Excel-integrated forecasting specialty software.

We predict out 24 hours of data based on the previous 12 weeks of hourly foreign exchange rate and precious metal’s data as provided by the Russian stock market news and information website Forexite.com.

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Deficits and loose money should lead to higher gold


But there's at least one variable that could upend this investment thesis, and the fortunes of its holders: The Federal Reserve's ability to sop up much of the excess money floating on bank ledgers before it gets into the hands of businesses and consumers, spurring high inflation and a further drop in the dollar.

It's a tricky task but one that a camp of economists and investors think the Fed can achieve. If policymakers under the direction of Fed chief Ben Bernanke succeed, a big reason to buy gold evaporates.

"Since we believe Fed will do the right thing, will take remedial action, we're very wary right now," said Milton Ezrati, market strategist for Lord Abbett & Co., about buying gold.

"It looks like fears are overblown, and that gold is too high," he said. "We think there's a future in equities."

Countering that view is one that's grabbing more attention as gold futures hit new nominal highs over $1,150 an ounce last week.

There's nowhere for gold to go but up, say many of the major investors who have recently bought into gold, because there are too many powerful forces weighing against the value of the dollar, the most popular investment alternative to precious metals.

"The reason gold is running now has to do with concerns with deficits and worries about the strength of the currency," said Linda Duessel, equity market strategist at Federated Investors.

She says these fundamental concerns surrounding the U.S. economy mean gold has more room to rise.

With the U.S. budget deficit reaching $1.4 trillion in its year ending September, and the White House projecting annual budget deficits to add another $9 trillion to public debt over the next 10 years, the U.S. digging is itself into a bigger borrowing hole, many fear.

High levels of debt to national income can wallop a country's currency. If investors worry about a country's ability to pay its bills, they may avoid buying its bonds and other investable assets, and so don't need dollars to buy these securities.

"My fear," she said, "it's about the exact opposite of fiscal discipline, it's the concerns other countries have been voicing to the U.S., 'You have to get your act together.'"

Others, however, cite the money sloshing around in the system as posing the big risk to U.S. financial credibility and the dollar.

Hedge fund managers David Einhorn, John Paulson and Paul Tudor Jones have all been amassing gold stakes, betting that the surge in monetary stimulus here and in other countries will devalue paper currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar. That's also good for gold.

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